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The 'real' Premier League table decided by xG makes some big changes to finishing positions

Ryan Sidle

| Last updated 

The 'real' Premier League table decided by xG makes some big changes to finishing positions

Every team gets what they deserve at the end of a Premier League season right? Well not according to the expected points league table.

Whilst there might be the small detail of a few cup finals to go, teams in England's top tier ended their league campaigns on Sunday afternoon.

The big headline was of course Abdoulaye Doucoure keeping Everton in the league and avoiding their first relegation since 1952 and sending Leeds United and Leicester City down instead.

Unfortunately fans were denied much more drama with Manchester City having already secured their title and Manchester United earning the final top four spot before the weekend.



Some thoughts have already turned to what will have happened by this time next year, especially with Luton Town getting the final spot in the league with their play-off final win.

Others meanwhile are still dissecting what's happened since last August and deciding who deserves to win all sorts of awards, including us here at SPORTbible.

It's been a few weeks since an Arsenal fan suggested an alternative way for the league to be decided and now someone else has come up with a way, kind of.


The 'expected points' table shows how the league would have finished if every team lived up to their xG in each game, whether that's goals scored or conceded.

City still run away with the league and would actually have blown Arsenal away whilst Brighton would have qualified for the Champions League.

Some fans have been known to mock xG as stupid way to further understand how much a team had dominated a single game.


However whilst it definitely still has its flaws it's a far better metric to gather how good a team is in front of goal and at defending over a full season.

If a team are getting in good positions but not scoring then they'd have a high xG but not actually be getting any reward in the actual table.

The fact Brighton would be in a better position if they converted their xG suggests that their historic problems with scoring remain even with improvement.

The biggest losers in the whole situation are relegated Leicester, Leeds and Southampton who would all have stayed up if the season went the way it 'should' have, which is a first.

Featured Image Credit: Alamy

Topics: Football, Premier League, Manchester City, Manchester United, Arsenal, Brighton And Hove Albion, Southampton, Leeds United, Leicester City, Liverpool, Chelsea, Tottenham Hotspur

Ryan Sidle
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