Jamie Carragher believes teams will avoid relegation from the Premier League this season if they reach 30 points.
We're a third of the way through the campaign with four teams still on single-digit points.
Burnley are currently bottom of the table on goal difference with just four points and one will all season.
Everton sit 19th following a 10-point deduction for breaching financial rule, one point behind Sheffield United.
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Luton Town moved four points clear of Sheffield United with a 2-1 win over Crystal Palace over the weekend. Rob Edwards' men have nine points from 13 games.
Burnley, Sheffield United and Luton were all promoted from the Championship last season and are favourites to go straight back down.
Liverpool legend Carragher believes struggling sides won't need to be at their best to avoid the drop.
The current record is held by West Bromwich Albion, who stayed up on the final day of the 2004/2005 campaign after a 2-0 victory against Portsmouth.
Carragher explain on The Overlap's 'Stick To Football' from Sky Bet: "Trying not to be disrespectful to the teams who have come up, but, I think there probably is a feeling in the Premier League that, those three teams that have come up have found it really difficult.
"If you're sort of down there at this moment, you get the parachute [payments] next year.
"I think if you get over 30 points, you've got a good chance of staying up.
"I'm not sure if the three promoted teams, maybe you can put Bournemouth in there, will get too many more than 30."
When Ian Wright asked Carragher about other potential teams that could go down, he replied: "Everton will stay up, [Nottingham] Forest will stay up, Fulham I think will be fine."
Burnley welcome Sheffield United to Turf Moor on Saturday afternoon in a huge game and Luton travel to the Gtech Community Stadium to take on Brentford.
Everton will face Nottingham Forest at the City Ground later that evening.
Topics: Jamie Carragher, Premier League, Luton Town, Sheffield United, Burnley
Daniel Marland