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Premier League supercomputer predicts end of season table as Arsenal and Man City battle for the title

Rory O'Callaghan

| Last updated 

Premier League supercomputer predicts end of season table as Arsenal and Man City battle for the title

The Premier League title race looks set to go down to the wire, with Arsenal and Manchester City battling to be crowned champions of England.

City are looking to win their third successive title, while Arsenal are hoping to be crowned champions for the first time since 2003.

It's the Gunners that are currently top of the table, eight points clear of City having played one game more than their rivals.

The two teams will meet at the Etihad on April 26 in a match which will have a major bearing on the destination of the Premier League title this season.


It is also set to be dramatic finish in the race for the top four, with Newcastle, Manchester United, Tottenham, Brighton, Brentford and Liverpool all battling for the final two Champions League places.

Meanwhile, at the bottom of the table, there are nine teams at risk of relegation with just seven points separating Crystal Palace in 11th from Southampton in 20th.


Arsenal predicted to beat City to the title


bettingexpert's supercomputer BETSiE, which takes into account multiple data points, including expected goals and expected goals against, has attempted to predict the final Premier League table after running a simulation 100,000 times.

It has predicted that Arsenal will pip City to the title by around three points, with the Gunners finishing a simulation average of 88.1 points to City’s 85.2.

Newcastle are expected to finish third with an average of 71.2 points, ahead of fourth-place Manchester United (69.3).

Tottenham narrowly miss out on the Champions League places and finish fifth with an average of 64.1, qualifying for the Europa League.


They are then followed by Brighton (62.9), Liverpool (60.7) and Brentford (54.6).

At the other end of the table, Southampton are expected to finish bottom with an average points tally of 33.4.

Everton are predicted to lose their top-flight status for the first time since the 1950/51 campaign, with the Toffees expected to finish second-bottom on 36.2 points.

Nottingham Forest are predicted to be the third team to go down with an average of 36.2, finishing above Everton on goal difference alone.


Wolves are expected to be the lucky team that narrowly avoids relegation as fourth-bottom, with Julen Lopetegui's side expected to finish around one point clear of Forest and Everton on 37.3.

Premier League end of table prediction

1) Arsenal – 88.1 points on average

2) Manchester City – 85.2 points on average


3) Newcastle – 71.2 points on average

4) Manchester United – 69.3 points on average

5) Tottenham – 64.1 points on average

6) Brighton – 62.9 points on average

7) Liverpool – 60.7 points on average

8) Brentford – 54.6 points on average

9) Aston Villa – 52.4 points on average

10) Fulham – 50.4 points on average

11) Chelsea – 50.1 points on average

12) West Ham – 41.6 points on average

13) Crystal Palace – 41.5 points on average

14) Leicester – 37.9 points on average

15) Bournemouth 37.9 points on average

16) Leeds – 37.8 points on average

17) Wolves – 37.3 points on average

18) Nottingham Forest – 36.2 points on average

19) Everton – 36.2 points on average

20) Southampton – 33.2 points on average

Featured Image Credit: Alamy

Topics: Premier League, Football, Arsenal, Manchester City, Newcastle United, Manchester United, Tottenham Hotspur, Brighton And Hove Albion, Liverpool, Brentford, Aston Villa, Fulham, Chelsea, West Ham United, Crystal Palace, Leicester City, Bournemouth, Leeds United, Wolverhampton Wanderers, Nottingham Forest, Everton, Southampton

Rory O'Callaghan
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