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Latest Supercomputer stats predict Arsenal's downfall in Premier League title race

Ryan Sidle

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| Last updated 

Latest Supercomputer stats predict Arsenal's downfall in Premier League title race

Manchester City fans don't have to worry about the five point advantage that Arsenal currently hold at the top of the Premier League, at least that's according to the latest figures from a supercomputer.

Last weekend, City must have been a little worried when Demarai Gray's stunning equaliser for Everton left them seven points behind Arsenal.

It effectively meant the Gunners could lose the two games they still have against the reigning champions and still end up as Premier League winners.

However, Newcastle's draw with Mikel Arteta's side, which left the manager enraged on the touchline, thanks to some refereeing decisions, means the gap is back down to five.

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Despite the draw to a very decent Newcastle side, who have also taken points of City and Manchester United, and only narrowly lost to Liverpool, Arsenal are still looking pretty good.

Their form will be really put to the test when they face Tottenham Hotspur and United in their next two league games, before hosting City early in February.

If they get through those games unscathed then people will really start believing in their title credentials, however data analysts FiveThirtyEight believe that it'll be City who win the league.

According to the data company, Guardiola's side have a 50% chance to become champs for the third season in-a-row, whilst Arsenal are only 42% likely to win the league.

Guardiola is set to win the league yet again. Image: Alamy
Guardiola is set to win the league yet again. Image: Alamy

The Erik ten Hag led resurgence at Old Trafford has led some to wonder if United are also in the title race, 10 years after they last won the title under Sir Alex Ferguson.

Whilst things might change if they win their upcoming games with Arsenal and City, they're currently given just a 3% chance of winning the title.

Newcastle and Liverpool are both given just a 2% chance and the rest of the league don't even get that high a hope of being crowned champions.

When it comes to finishing in the top four, and qualifying for next season's Champions League, the current top two are given a nearly 100% chance.

United are given a 59% chance to follow suit and then Newcastle and Liverpool are expected to battle it out for the final spot, with Eddie Howe's side rated a 49% chance and Jurgen Klopp's team given 48%.

United's recent form has some believing they could battle for the title. Image: Alamy
United's recent form has some believing they could battle for the title. Image: Alamy

Despite their win over Crystal Palace in midweek, Spurs are only given a 25% chance of finishing in the top four, which isn't good news for Antonio Conte's side.

Brighton are given a 14% chance, which is significantly better than Chelsea's nine, following Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang's woeful performance against City.

At least Graham Potter's side aren't expected to go down with Southampton, Bournemouth and Everton predicted to be the bottom three.

Wolves and Nottingham Forest aren't far behind in their chances to go down, whilst West Ham, Leeds United and Leicester City are all still given a significant chance.

Featured Image Credit: Alamy

Topics: Football, Premier League, Arsenal, Manchester City, Manchester United, Champions League, Liverpool, Newcastle United

Ryan Sidle
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