Supercomputer predicts final 2026-27 Premier League table with champions winning by just three points

The start of the 2026-27 Premier League campaign is just a few weeks away, which means we have entered supercomputer season.

Premier League football is absolutely brimming with data. As more and more information is gathered, the ability to predict the outcome of 380 matches with some degree of rationale is sure to mesh beautifully with the in-built need for football fans to bicker about something.

The anticipated 2026-27 numbers have been crunched by Compare.bet by way of 'a combination of agentic AI and mathematical probability algorithms' and the headline at the very top of the predicted Premier League table is that Arsenal are tipped to win back-to-back league titles for the first time since the mid-1930s.

According to the data, the Gunners have a 45 percent chance of winning the Premier League title for the second consecutive season.

Manchester City rank in second, three points behind the reigning champions, with Liverpool a further 11 points back in third and Chelsea in fourth, four points behind the Reds.

Aston Villa, who finished fourth in 2025-26, drop to fifth and would need the Premier League to secure an extra spot in the Champions League again.

Perhaps the biggest surprise of all is that Manchester United, third last season, will slide back to sixth according to the supercomputer's predicted table.

The Red Devils are given a 3.5 percent chance of winning the league but are likelier to qualify for the Champions League than not. Only Arsenal, Man City (38 percent) and Liverpool (11 percent) are credited with a higher chance of lifting the trophy in May.

As many as 12 teams have seen their chances of winning the title rated at zero. In one or two cases, even that feels a little generous.

It's bad news for Hull City, Ipswich Town and Coventry City, who make up the supercomputer's bottom three.

Ipswich's chances of relegation have been rated at 54 percent, Coventry's at 68 percent and Hull's at a whopping 84 percent.

The Tigers' predicted tally of 19 points would put them in the ten worst Premier League teams ever, level with the 2002-03 Sunderland team and a Portsmouth side that had been deducted nine points in 2009-10.

Premier League supercomputer results in full

Based on the information available, here's what to expect in 2026-27.

Premier League supercomputer table

"The supercomputer simulated the Premier League season 10,000, determining match probabilities by utilising current Elo team ratings, sentiment analysis, betting market data and historical performance," says Compare.bet

"The Elo ratings of each team are dynamically adjusted based on data such as xG under and overperformance.

"Each time it simulates a score for each game and at the end of each complete season, it records and tracks data including where each team finished."