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Supercomputer Predicts Outcome Of The 2021/22 Premier League Season

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Supercomputer Predicts Outcome Of The 2021/22 Premier League Season

Manchester City are twice as likely to win the Premier League this season, according to a supercomputer that has analysed every team's chance of winning.

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Pep Guardiola's team ran away with the league title last season, defeating rivals Manchester United by 12 points, and they're most people's favourites to win again.

Since last summer, they've only lost Sergio Aguero from their first team, who didn't play that much last season, and added £100 million signing Jack Grealish.

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With the attacking options Guardiola now has it's no wonder that most people think they'll win the league, and even the stats think they'll finish top come May.

Grealish's arrival will be enough to help keep the title at City according to most. Image: PA Images
Grealish's arrival will be enough to help keep the title at City according to most. Image: PA Images

Data analysts FiveThirtyEight predict all sorts of things from politics to sport, and their latest prediction for the season reckons that the champions have a 40% chance of defending the title, which is nearly twice as much chance as next best Liverpool have.

Jurgen Klopp has only added Ibrahima Konate to the team that managed to finish third on the final day of last season, but the stats reckon the Reds are the second most likely team to win the title.

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European champions Chelsea are third on the list, but that could certainly change when they make the signing of Romelu Lukaku official.

Making up the top four, according to the stats, will be Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's Manchester United, who currently have a 10% chance of winning the league.

The top ten according to the stats. Image: Five Thirty Eight
The top ten according to the stats. Image: Five Thirty Eight

As well as Chelsea's chances being dependent on Lukaku, who they are expected to sign, City's chances would also improve if they sign Harry Kane.

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Whilst it's started to feel less likely that move will happen, especially since they spent so much on Grealish, reports on Thursday suggested they haven't given up hope.

Arsenal's position in fifth place will probably surprise most observers, even with their signing of Ben White, and Leicester would be favoured to finish above them again.

Brighton's position in the top 10 is one of the most surprising parts of the predictions and, unless they find more goal scoring threat than last season, most people would have them closer to the bottom.

Bottom half of the table. Image: Five Thirty Eight
Bottom half of the table. Image: Five Thirty Eight
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Watford are expected to be bottom of the table, with fellow yo-yo side Norwich City not too far behind, but both newly promoted sides should find solace in the fact things are expected to be much closer in the relegation zone.

Who do you think will win the title and go down this season? Let us know your thoughts in the comments.

Featured Image Credit: 20th Century Fox/PA

Topics: Football, Premier League, Manchester City, Manchester United, Chelsea, Liverpool

Ryan Sidle
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