It's not very easy to spot which players are going to be the best in the world, if it was we'd all be doing it. The problem is when you make a prediction you best be ready for it to bite you on the backside as happened with Jack Wilshere.
Being a top footballer isn't just to do with your ability with the ball at your feet. Of course actual ability has a lot to do with it but it's as much about what's in your head as it is what's in your feet.
That's why every now and again the Football Manager wonderkid we've all pinned our hopes on falls by the wayside, whether it's Supat Rungratsamee, Freddy Adu or Maxim Tsigalko. But even some real life predictions go astray too.
Once upon a time Jack Wilshere was the next big thing at Arsenal before developing into the man that never fulfilled his potential due to, amongst several things, injuries.
Back in 2013, when Wilshere had far advanced from next big thing, he had a stab at predicting who would be next. Taking to Twitter he told the world to look out for Alfred Mugabo. It's not a tweet that has aged well.
Watch out for this young lad at #Arsenal @absolutely04 #Decent #Baller
- Jack Wilshere (@JackWilshere) April 11, 2013
Back then Mugabo was just 17 and playing in the academy for the Gunners but within the year, March 2014. he had been released by the Premier League club.
In 2015 he dropped well down the footballing ladder, into non league, to play for Bedford for five games before joining Enfield Town for eight matches later that season.
After that he moved to Dulwich Hamlet, then Canvey Island, the Metropolitan Police and, finally, in 2017, he played eight times for Braintree Town.
He was released from Braintree last November and hasn't had a club since:
CLUB STATEMENT: Alfred Mugabo has left the club. We wish him the best wherever he ends up. @absolutely04 pic.twitter.com/8OyofDRqUU
- Braintree Town FC (@braintreetownfc) November 3, 2017
The 22 year old has played once for Rwanda during his football career but he's spent most of it traveling the nether regions of English football.
Hopefully not too many people took Wilshere's advice and bet on Mugabo winning the Ballon d'Or at any point.
You win some, you lose some Jack, just don't become a scout when you retire.